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-function ReadQuotes() {
- # Retrieve historical data for each ticker symbol
- FS = ","
- for (stock = 1; stock <= StockCount; stock++) {
- URL = "http://chart.yahoo.com/table.csv?s=" name[stock] \
- "&a=" month "&b=" day "&c=" year-1 \
- "&d=" month "&e=" day "&f=" year \
- "g=d&q=q&y=0&z=" name[stock] "&x=.csv"
- printf("GET " URL " HTTP/1.0\r\n\r\n") |& YahooData
- while ((YahooData |& getline) > 0) {
- if (NF == 6 && $1 ~ /Jan|Feb|Mar|Apr|May|Jun|Jul|Aug|Sep|Oct|Nov|Dec/) {
- if (stock == 1)
- days[++daycount] = $1;
- quote[$1, stock] = $5
- }
- }
- close(YahooData)
- }
- FS = " "
-}
-function CleanUp() {
- # clean up time series; eliminate incomplete data sets
- for (d = 1; d <= daycount; d++) {
- for (stock = 1; stock <= StockCount; stock++)
- if (! ((days[d], stock) in quote))
- stock = StockCount + 10
- if (stock > StockCount + 1)
- continue
- datacount++
- for (stock = 1; stock <= StockCount; stock++)
- data[datacount, stock] = int(0.5 + quote[days[d], stock])
- }
- delete quote
- delete days
-}
-function Prediction() {
- # Predict each ticker symbol by prolonging yesterday's trend
- for (stock = 1; stock <= StockCount; stock++) {
- if (data[1, stock] > data[2, stock]) {
- predict[stock] = "up"
- } else if (data[1, stock] < data[2, stock]) {
- predict[stock] = "down"
- } else {
- predict[stock] = "neutral"
- }
- if ((data[1, stock] > data[2, stock]) && (data[2, stock] > data[3, stock]))
- hot[stock] = 1
- if ((data[1, stock] < data[2, stock]) && (data[2, stock] < data[3, stock]))
- avoid[stock] = 1
- }
- # Do a plausibility check: how many predictions proved correct?
- for (s = 1; s <= StockCount; s++) {
- for (d = 1; d <= datacount-2; d++) {
- if (data[d+1, s] > data[d+2, s]) {
- UpCount++
- } else if (data[d+1, s] < data[d+2, s]) {
- DownCount++
- } else {
- NeutralCount++
- }
- if (((data[d, s] > data[d+1, s]) && (data[d+1, s] > data[d+2, s])) ||
- ((data[d, s] < data[d+1, s]) && (data[d+1, s] < data[d+2, s])) ||
- ((data[d, s] == data[d+1, s]) && (data[d+1, s] == data[d+2, s])))
- CorrectCount++
- }
- }
-}
-function Report() {
- # Generate report
- report = "\nThis is your daily "
- report = report "stock market report for "strftime("%A, %B %d, %Y")".\n"
- report = report "Here are the predictions for today:\n\n"
- for (stock = 1; stock <= StockCount; stock++)
- report = report "\t" name[stock] "\t" predict[stock] "\n"
- for (stock in hot) {
- if (HotCount++ == 0)
- report = report "\nThe most promising shares for today are these:\n\n"
- report = report "\t" name[stock] "\t\thttp://biz.yahoo.com/n/" \
- tolower(substr(name[stock], 1, 1)) "/" tolower(name[stock]) ".html\n"
- }
- for (stock in avoid) {
- if (AvoidCount++ == 0)
- report = report "\nThe stock shares to avoid today are these:\n\n"
- report = report "\t" name[stock] "\t\thttp://biz.yahoo.com/n/" \
- tolower(substr(name[stock], 1, 1)) "/" tolower(name[stock]) ".html\n"
- }
- report = report "\nThis sums up to " HotCount+0 " winners and " AvoidCount+0
- report = report " losers. When using this kind\nof prediction scheme for"
- report = report " the 12 months which lie behind us,\nwe get " UpCount
- report = report " 'ups' and " DownCount " 'downs' and " NeutralCount
- report = report " 'neutrals'. Of all\nthese " UpCount+DownCount+NeutralCount
- report = report " predictions " CorrectCount " proved correct next day.\n"
- report = report "A success rate of "\
- int(100*CorrectCount/(UpCount+DownCount+NeutralCount)) "%.\n"
- report = report "Random choice would have produced a 33% success rate.\n"
- report = report "Disclaimer: Like every other prediction of the stock\n"
- report = report "market, this report is, of course, complete nonsense.\n"
- report = report "If you are stupid enough to believe these predictions\n"
- report = report "you should visit a doctor who can treat your ailment."
-}
-function SendMail() {
- # send report to customers
- customer["uncle.scrooge@ducktown.gov"] = "Uncle Scrooge"
- customer["more@utopia.org" ] = "Sir Thomas More"
- customer["spinoza@denhaag.nl" ] = "Baruch de Spinoza"
- customer["marx@highgate.uk" ] = "Karl Marx"
- customer["keynes@the.long.run" ] = "John Maynard Keynes"
- customer["bierce@devil.hell.org" ] = "Ambrose Bierce"
- customer["laplace@paris.fr" ] = "Pierre Simon de Laplace"
- for (c in customer) {
- MailPipe = "mail -s 'Daily Stock Prediction Newsletter'" c
- print "Good morning " customer[c] "," | MailPipe
- print report "\n.\n" | MailPipe
- close(MailPipe)
- }
-}
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